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Food & beverageNon-Recourse

Illustrative financing scenario · not a historical client result

Coffee subscription brand

A subscription coffee brand with predictable retention wanted capital quickly. Data-driven diligence turned a multi-week process into hours and funded a growth cohort in under two weeks.

< 10 days
Data connection to funding
3.2×
Underwritten GP/CAC
Weekly
Performance re-underwriting

The challenge

  • Subscription retention was excellent, but traditional lenders ignored cohort-level economics.
  • The founders couldn't afford a multi-week diligence process that stalled acquisition momentum.
  • They needed a partner who could read recurring-revenue cohorts, not just a credit score.

Illustrative structure

  • Used read-only platform connections to assemble the diligence data room in hours.
  • Fit survival and BG/NBD retention models to forecast lifetime cohort gross profit with uncertainty bands.
  • Sized the advance off the lower forecast band to preserve downside protection.

Modeled outcome

  • Moved from first data connection to first deployment in under ten business days.
  • Funded a defined acquisition cohort attributed cleanly through commerce and ad platforms.
  • Built a repeatable monitoring loop that re-pulls actual performance weekly.

Composite, illustrative engagement. Brand name anonymized; figures are examples, not audited results or a commitment to fund.